Submitted
by Tyler Durden on 06/30/2015 17:42 -0400
It has been a bad
day for deals and deadlines all around: first Greece is about to enter July
without a bailout program and in default to the IMF with the ECB about to yank
its ELA support or at least cut ELA haircuts; also the US failed to reach a
nuclear deal with Iran in a can-kicking negotiation that has become so farcical
there is no point in even covering it; and now moments ago a third June 30
"deal" failed to reach an acceptable conclusion when Russia and
Ukraine were unable to reach an agreement on gas prices at talks in Vienna on
Tuesday. As a result, Ukraine is suspending its purchase of Russian
gas.
According to RT,
Russian Energy Minister Aleksandr Novak and Ukraine’s Energy and Coal Minister
Vladimir Demchishin both admitted to reporters that the negotiations had born
no fruit. Demchishin added that there would be a new round of talks in
September.
Meanwhile, Ukraine’s
energy company, Naftogaz, will stop buying gas from Russia as of Wednesday,
July 1.
“As of June 30,
2015, the agreement between Naftogaz and Gazprom runs out, and conditions for
continued supply of Russian gas to Ukraine have not been agreed upon; Naftogaz
will no longer be purchasing gas from the Russian company,” a press release by
Naftogaz said.
The Russian
minister seemed unhappy and said it was politically motivated and there were no
grounds for it.
So what will
prevent Ukraine from simply siphoning off Russian gas transiting its territory
for Europe? Nothing, except
its word:
Naftogaz gave
assurances that “the transit of Russian gas through Ukrainian territory to
Gazprom’s European clients will continue in full, according to contracts
agreed.”
Russia will not
increase the discount it has offered to Ukraine on gas purchases, Novak told
the media. “The price of $247 [per cubic meter of gas] is completely
uncompetitive, that is why we are very surprised that Ukraine wants a much
lower price – it is out of line with the current market environment.” He
stressed that the price “is not subject to correction.”
Ironically, even as
Kiev will begin counting down the days until the winter, Russia will continue
direct supplies of gas to Ukraine’s southeast, the Donbas separatist region
which has been all but forgotten by the Ukraine capital due to the ongoing
civil war on location. It has been doing so since February, when Kiev claimed
that it could no longer supply gas to the conflict-torn regions due to damaged
pipelines.
While Gazprom
insists that Kiev is still responsible for paying for the gas that goes to
Donbas, it probably should not hold its breath.
Incidentally, just
like the Eurogroup launched shock treatment on Greece with capital controls
first and shortly deposit haircuts, all in order to force the Greek government
to resign by peaceful means or otherwise, the Kiev government, just as broke
and about to default on its own bonds, may have just lit the fuse under its own
cabinet, because while nobody needs heating in the summer when it is hot, in 5
months it will get very cold and as Greece has shown a desperate people are
unpredictable.
Should the gas
cutoff continue well into the cold winter, it just may be the catalyst that
forces the revulsion against a regime that has so far done the bidding of the
US State Department, if not so much its own people.
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