Why Russia Revealed Coup Plans to Erdogan
Putin prefers the devil he knows to the unpredictable pro-US military
Thu, Jul 21, 2016 | 10,432
Better the devil you know
Originally appeared at Nikolai
Starikov blog. Translated by Julia Rakhmetova
The author is a famous Russian writer and historian and leader of the
Great Fatherland party.
Let’s start with the history of coups in Turkey. Traditionally, they
have been conducted by the military, which modern Turkey’s founder Kemal Ataturk designated
as the guardians of secularism, stability and integrity. Since WWII, there were
military coups in 1960, 1971, 1980 and 1997, and the US was behind EVERY one.
During the first coup in 1960, they tried to prevent a rapprochement
with the USSR, turning off credit, and Turkish Prime Minister Adnan Menderes
planned to visit Moscow to set up an alternative source of crediting
and economic assistance. The military
took over, and the politicians who wanted to repair relations with Russia were
removed.
The coup in 1971 was similar to the one in Chile that happened a little
later in 1973, and which was also organized by the CIA. The goal was to stop
the country from sliding "to the left" under politicians who held
social values. The 1980 and 1997 coups were also conducted with US blessing.
Did Turkey’s foreign policy change after the military came to power? No,
Turkey was a faithful vassal of the US and remained pro-American, with all
attempts to change that policy severely punished.
It’s important to understand that the US has been behind all Turkish
coups, in order to understand that country’s evolution.
The Turkish army is an experienced coup maker. They can teach anyone.
The idea that it is they who guarantee stability and secularism is imbibed with
their mother's milk. Military men in Turkey have never failed in a coup - until
now. Why did this happen?
Perhaps the military men did something wrong, forgetting the playbook?
It’s important to see that actually, they did just as well as their
predecessors.
So why did the coup fail? It failed because it was expected. Erdogan was
ready to deflect it.
To understand what just happened in Turkey, we need to remember
little-known pages of our own history: the USSR, 1927. Trotskyists attempted to
take power on the tenth anniversary of the October Revolution. The plan for
this "coup" by "Lenin guards" was to occupy "telegraph
and telephone" and arrest Stalin and his supporters, taking advantage of
the festive demonstrations on November 7. Stalin was aware of the plan and
ensured the coup would fail, leaving the Kremlin with his supporters for a safe
place; the major buildings were occupied in advance by loyal chekists, who
barricaded themselves in.
As a result, when on November 7, 1927 gunmen broke into the leader’s
apartments, no one was home. When they tried to force other major buildings,
they also failed. As a result, the putschists found themselves on the street
where workers were marching to celebrate the red-letter day. Attempts to stir
up a rebellion on Red Square and other places failed, and the coup with them.
Why did Stalin, being aware of the coup, let it happen, lancing the abscess?
To show the Bolshevik Party that there really was a threat and begin
purging it. If there had not been an attempted coup, Trotsky’s expulsion from
the Party would have been considered by the rank and file as tyranny, a
settling of scores with those who disagreed with Stalin. They could have
different points of view, so why did he need to arrest old Party members? Lev
Davydovich Trotsky was Lenin’s closest associate, founder of the Red Army.
Stalin played with fire, showed his face to the "opposition", and the
whole party followed him. Trotsky was expelled from the party, and afterwards
sent to Almaty, and then to…Turkey.
Something similar happened in July 2016 in Turkey. The coup failed
because Erdogan knew beforehand what was being planned, and prevented it.
Almost none of the buildings from which they could announce they had taken
power (parliament etc.), were occupied, facing armed resistance. The response
was so well prepared that they had to bomb the parliament building. The
resistance led to many casualties among the putschists. This had never happened
in Turkey. The military had always successfully taken a defenseless power.
We must admit that Erdogan acted bravely. Aware of the coup, he let it
happen, leaving Marmaris "just five minutes" before they came for
him. If he had started arresting on today’s scale, his supporters would have
overthrown him. Instead, they arrested people – not only military men but also
judges. (By the way, it was the arrests of the judges that show that Erdogan
knew about the coup in the making. Otherwise, why did he arrest thousands of
judges during the first hours following the failure of the coup?)
The next question we need to ask ourselves is how the Turkish leader was
informed about the the conspiracy in the making?
These are several possibilities:
1. Turkish special services. They would not warn anyone, and it’s
unclear whose side they are on.
2. The US warned Erdogan. The United States is always behind the
military who try to take power in Turkey. Turkey never tried to leave NATO,
always remaining loyal to the US. To undertake a coup without Washington’s
green light means failure.
Considering who else could help Erdogan, there are not too many
intelligence services in the world - serious ones, that is. Mossad? It’s a
branch of the CIA; besides, Israel does not pursue policies contrary to
America’s. And why should Israel help the Islamist Erdogan? MI6? Again, it’s
practically a branch of the CIA, given the common US-British foreign policy.
France or Germany? The first cannot even defend itself. The second doesn’t
really exist on a global scale. Who else? China? This is not its game at all
and Erdogan is by no means “their type”.
Who is left? Who has the necessary power, and who is interested in a
certain scenario in Turkey?
Only Russia. It was Russia that told Erdogan about the planned coup. We
have many tourists who keep going there, afraid of nothing. We have been wiring
Turkish land and space topography since Soviet times. The Crimea is also
nearby.
The last question is why Russia decided to tell Erdogan about the coup.
His behavior shows that he is grateful to Russia. He demands the US extradite
Gulen (who isn’t involved at all), but has a peaceful attitude towards Russia.
Is Erdogan Russia’s friend? Of course not. He is our enemy. But today he
is mad at the US. And "the enemy of my enemy is my friend". For
Russia, an Erdogan who is mad at the US is much preferable to a pro-American,
unpredictable military in the Syrian war. At least now, Erdogan owes us, and
the putschists owe the CIA. This opens a new window of possibilities for us in
the complex game of international politics.
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