The alliances and
proxies of the Syrian Front explained.
The concept that humanity
is teetering on the edge of third world war is no longer the domain of the
lunatic fringe.
Those of you who have
been paying attention know that in reality, the war is already underway. In this video we're going examine the profiles of
the key players and the alliances they've formed, expose their motives, and
present evidence of crimes that they've already committed. All of our sources
will be linked below.
The Map of Alliances
Russia, China, and Iran have all explicitly sided with the Syrian
government. Russia is providingair support, advanced anti-aircraft missile systems, heavy weapons and training.
For the time being, China
is more preoccupied with the ongoing tensions in the South China Sea, and has not flexed its muscles in Syria as of yet.
However, they should always be considered a
wildcard variable.
The current Iraqi
government is also a wildcard. In 2015 they began to indicate where their
loyalties lay in several meaningful ways. For example they told the U.S.
government that new ground operations were not
welcome, while at the same
time announcing that they intend to look to Russia for military
assistance.
The list of countries
pushing for regime change in Syria is a bit longer: The United States, France,
England, Germany, Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Qatar, Turkey and Israel. If seeing
these characters in bed together strikes you as strange, looking at their
motives will clarify things considerably.
A Matrix of Motives
There isn't just one
motive for this bloodbath. Rather there is a matrix of motives which intersect
in some rather odd places.
Of course money had to
play a role.
In 2009, Qatar put forth a proposal to build a natural gas pipeline which would have passed through
Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Syria, to Turkey and into Europe. The president of Syria, however
rejected this proposal. Instead, in 2011 he forged a pact
with Iraq and Iran to run a pipeline eastward cutting Qatar and Saudi Arabia out of the loop
completely.
It was around this time
that jihadists began flooding into the region intent on ousting Assad. The West presented these groups as freedom fighters.
Sectarian
Geopolitics
The vast majority of
these militants (ISIS included) are Sunni jihadists, which is significant,
because Saudi Arabia, Qatar, Turkey and Jordan are all Sunni as well.
And Saudi Arabia in
particular has a long history of spreading their
preferred strain of sunni extremism (Wahhabism) by investing heavily in building
mosques, madrasas, schools, and Sunni cultural centers across the Muslim world.
Now they have ISIS pushing it by the barrel of a gun (ISIS adheres to the
Wahhabi form of Sunni Islam).
ISIS is not merely some
dark aberration. Wahhabism as a philosophy calls for its adherents to take the
reigns of power by force, and to impose sharia law. Wahhabism also encourages its followers to
persecute Shia muslims, which they consider apostates. And of course
apostasy is punishable by death.
Iran is Shia. The current
government in Iraq is Shia, and has strong ties with Iran. The pipeline deal which Assad accepted would
strengthen this Shia block, and its regional influence. The Sunnis don't like
this, in fact they've even coined a term to describe it: The Shia Crescent.
Israel also doesn't like
this "Shia Crescent", at all, and they have decided to work with the
Sunnis to form a parallel block to counter balance Iran's influence.
That's why Israel has
launched numerous airstrikes against the Syrian government over the years (see here, here, and here), and has provided medical care, logistical
support and safe passage to known jihadists.
In 2013 Israel's
ambassador to the U.S., Michael Oren, told The Jerusalem Post that "The initial message about the Syrian
issue was that we always wanted [President] Bashar Assad to go, we always
preferred the bad guys who weren’t backed by Iran to the bad guys who were
backed by Iran," he said.
This was the case, he
said, even if the other "bad guys" were affiliated to al-Qaida.
Let that sink in for a
moment.
Evidence of Criminal
Activity
Now at this point if you
were to ask any of these governments directly why they are arming and funding
jihadists in Syria they would would claim that they are only supporting the
"moderate rebels", specifically the FSA. However, FSA commanders have gone on record to say that they cooperate with, and conduct joint operations with
Al-Nusra (Al-Qaeda's
official branch in Syria), and ISIS and Al-Nusra have officially
formed alliances, , and
it is well established that the FSA command has been dominated by
Islamic extremists for years.
Furthermore, a think tank
that was founded by Tony Blair, released a report in 2015 whichconcluded that it was pointless to
attempt to make a distinction between moderate rebels and jihadists, since the majority of these groups share ISIS's core belief system, and would impose sharia law if they came into power.
In this context, the
support being given to these groups can only be interpreted as material support
for terrorism, which is a crime.
Now the U.S. government
has been arming, funding and training these extremist both covertly and overtly
since 2011. However this support would have been impossible without the
assistance of the regional members of the anti-Assad axis.
For years Jordan has
allowed the CIA to run training camps for
militant groups and
has granted those militants safe passage into Syria.
Qatar has also provided
training grounds. In 2014 PBS visited one of these training
camps and interviewed some of the trainees. One of the fighters told the reporters that they
were being trained "how to finish off soldiers still alive after an
ambush."
Finishing off wounded
soldiers is a clear violation of the Geneva conventions. It's a warcrime. This
is a hallmark of a terrorist organization, not moderate freedom fighters.
Turkey, has been the primary route for
material and personnel headed in and out of jihadist territory for many years. A blatant example of this was 400 tons of weapons
that were looted from Gaddafi's armories, shipped to Turkey and then moved into
Syria in 2012. At this stage they weren't even trying to hide it, even though
it was already clear that jihadists were receiving the lion's
share of the weapons.
Jordan, Saudi Arabia and
Qatar also have assisted in the transfer of heavy weapons
directly to Al-Nusra by
flying hundreds of cargo flights into Syria.
And then there's the
infamous Toyota trucks which ISIS drives. U.S. counter-terrorism officials
made a show of investigating where they were getting these trucks, but it
would have been much simpler if they had just called up the U.S. State
Department. According to the PRI, the U.S. State Department has been supplying Toyota
Hiluxes (the exact model being used by ISIS) to the FSA for years.
"Specific equipment
like the Toyota Hiluxes are what we refer to as force enablers for the moderate
opposition forces on the ground," he adds. Shahbander says the US-supplied
pickups will be delivering troops and supplies into battle. Some of the fleet
will even become battlefield weapons.
"You can absolutely expect for many of those trucks to be mounted with
crew-served machine guns or other type of equipment, military equipment, that
the opposition forces have access to. I mean, that's one of the reasons why the
Toyota Hilux is such an important force multiplier, because it could be used
both for humanitarian purposes and for operational purposes as well."
Knowing the real chain of
alliances between these groups it makes perfect sense that ISIS would end up
behind the wheel.
And let's not forget
about the oil. At this stage ISIS has reached a point where it no longer needs
direct sponsorship. The organization earns an estimated
$1 million to $2 million dollars a day through oil sales. The U.S. was aware of this but did nothing to stop it. They didn't even condemn the country which was
facilitating the sale of this oil.
Russia, on the other
hand, began targeting oil convoys headed into Turkey in November of 2015.
Shortly thereafter Turkey shot down a Russian Su-24 that supposedly violated
Turkish airspace for 17 seconds. In response Russia released satellite evidence that they claim shows how Turkey is smuggling
oil from ISIS. The U.S. government dismissed this evidence, but didn't counter it with any evidence of their
own.
So where is the oil
going? We're supposed to just put that little detail out of our minds.
They knew, but they did
nothing. Why?
Right, and I suppose we
didn't call out Turkey for buying the oil because we didn't want to hurt
Erdogan's feelings.
Recipe for Disaster
Clearly it is not in the
interest of the anti-Assad axis to eliminate ISIS. The United States and France
are keen to make a show of airstrikes and special forces, but what they really
want is the ability to operate in Syria militarily. This is the only way
they'll have any chance of influencing the outcome.
Trouble is, Russia is dug
in. Unlike the United States and France, they have permission to operate in
the country, and
this has allowed them to set up bases, and a strong anti-aircraft defense grid
which at any point could be used to enforce a no-fly zone.
Washington is in a weak position. It can't really win from this angle, so they'll have to find a way to put Russia off
balance and retake the momentum.
It's important to
remember the real stakes in this conflict. The West is in a state of decline.
Their influence is waning. If the U.S. and their allies fail to remove Assad from power what they will be faced with is more than just a
strong Shia crescent. If they fail, they risk being edged out of the entire region, and replaced by Russia. This would give Russia an enormous amount of
leverage in global energy markets, and this of course has serious implications
for the petrodollar. For Washington this is an unacceptable outcome, so expect the unexpected.
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