What the Next 18 Months Can Look Like, if Leaders Buy Us Time


Coronavirus from SARS isolated in FRhK-4 cells. Thin section electron micrograph and negative stained virus particles
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If you want to translate this article, do it on a Medium post and leave me a private note here with your link. Here are the translations currently available:
Spanish (verified by author, full translation inc. charts)(alt. vs. 1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6)French (translated by an epidemiologist)
Chinese Traditional (full translation including charts, alternative translation)Chinese Simplified
German
Portuguese (alternative version)Russian
Italian (with graphs translated)(Alternative 1, Alternative version on Facebook)
Japanese
Vietnamese
Turkish
Polish
Icelandic (alternative translation)Greek
Bahasa Indonesia
Bahasa Malaysia
Farsi (alternative version outside of Medium)
Czech (alternative translation)Dutch
Norwegian
Hebrew
Ukrainian (alternative version)Swedish
Romanian (alternative version)Bulgarian
Catalonian
Slovak
Filipino
Hungarian (Alternative, with part 1, part 2)
Chinese Traditional (full translation including charts, alternative translation)Chinese Simplified
German
Portuguese (alternative version)Russian
Italian (with graphs translated)(Alternative 1, Alternative version on Facebook)
Japanese
Vietnamese
Turkish
Polish
Icelandic (alternative translation)Greek
Bahasa Indonesia
Bahasa Malaysia
Farsi (alternative version outside of Medium)
Czech (alternative translation)Dutch
Norwegian
Hebrew
Ukrainian (alternative version)Swedish
Romanian (alternative version)Bulgarian
Catalonian
Slovak
Filipino
Hungarian (Alternative, with part 1, part 2)
Mar 19 · 29 min read

This article follows Coronavirus: Why You Must Act Now, with over 40 million views and 30 translations. If you agree with this article, consider signing the corresponding White House petition. Translations available in 29 languages at the bottom. Running list of endorsements here. 9 million views so far.
Summary of the article: Strong coronavirus measures today should only last a few weeks, there shouldn’t be a big peak of infections afterwards, and it can all be done for a reasonable cost to society, saving millions of lives along the way. If we don’t take these measures, tens of millions will be infected, many will die, along with anybody else that requires intensive care, because the healthcare system will have collapsed.

