American Banks
Set To Be Choked By New Regulations
The
biggest banks in the US are going to face even stricter regulations than those
outlined in Basel III, which could reduce their earnings even further
Published:
September 10, 2014 at 1:29 pm ESTBy: Troy Kuhn
The largest banks in the US – JPMorgan Chase & Co.
(JPM), Bank of America Corp (BAC), Citigroup Inc (C), and Wells Fargo & Co (WFC) – find themselves in the line of fire, as the
Federal Reserve and US Senators push for further regulations. The banks will be
subjected to regulations that are tougher than the Basel III requirements for
capital adequacy and liquidity.
Fed Governor, Daniel Tarullo, said that the Federal
Reserve is planning to implement liquidity requirements that will be more
onerous than the Basel III requirements. This regulation will protect the
systemically important banks in the event of an economic shock.
Investors finally responded to the news yesterday, as
the share prices of Bank of America, Goldman Sachs Group Inc (GS), JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Morgan Stanley (MS) all fell. Investors fear that the new regulations
will result in a declining return on equity due to the enforcement of a higher
capital surcharge.
The biggest losers on the imposition of a higher
capital surcharge will be the big banks. Lawmakers made clear distinctions
between big banks that are considered too big to fail and other financial firms
at the Senate Banking Committee hearing yesterday.
A higher capital surcharge is the next step in the
measures taken to reduce the risk of big financial institutions. According to
the new rules, banks will be required to hold higher portions of safe and
liquid assets to aid their operations in the short-term, in case of a potential
credit crunch. American banks, which rely heavily on volatile short
term-sources of funding such as overnight loans, will be penalized by the
Federal Reserve. The Fed had earlier made it mandatory for banks to hold
ultra-safe assets that can instantly be sold for funds in times of financial
stress.
As banks start to acquire more ultra-safe assets, such
as Treasurys, their returns are expected to slide further, as interest rates
are already at an all-time low. JPMorgan – the largest bank in the US by total
assets – had a return on tangible equity slightly below 10 percent, whereas
Goldman Sachs had a return on tangible equity of around 11%, as per their last
quarterly filings. However, if the Federal Reserve imposes a regulatory system
similar to that in the UK, the banks’ return on tangible equity could fall
drastically.
Currently, all the big banks in the US have their
capital ratios above the threshold levels of 8% and 9.5%. However, banks on the
other side of the Atlantic maintain much higher capital ratios – usually more
than 10 percent. Due to higher capital ratio requirements in the UK, the return
on tangible equity for Barclays PLC (ADR) (BCS) was only 2%.
The capital surcharge which the Federal Reserve will
impose on the banks will increase the minimum level of high quality assets that
big banks are required to hold. American banks that are considered too big to
fail will have to increase their ultra-safe high quality capital assets by
1-2.5 percentage points. The exact increase in high quality capital will be
calculated according to the relative riskiness of a bank.
When the surcharge was proposed, banks all over the
world initially railed against it, calling it unnecessary as it will reduce
their capabilities to lend. It is expected that banks in the US will argue a
similar case.
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